The Saints did plenty more than cover, dominating Green Bay and crushing many moneyline parlays and Packers bets. A remarkable 87% of bets and 92% of the money at DraftKings was on the Packers to cover, and the story was similar at other books (87% at Caesars, 80% PointsBet, 66% at BetMGM). Zach Brunner is the founder of FlurrySports and a featured sports betting and fantasy sports expert for numerous outlets. With an education in business, coaching and history education, he has taken a little bit from all of his experiences to give him a well-rounded, unique point of view in the sports industry. Follow him on Twitter @FantasyFlurry to keep up with other things he is doing. The Ravens suffered one of the most notable season-ending injuries of the preseason, with running back J.K.
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The New York Jets and Carolina Panthers meet in a game that features ex-Jets QB Sam Darnold against his old squad. He’ll try to outduel his replacement, Zach Wilson, whom the Jets selected with the second pick in the 2021 NFL Draft. Bookies expect this will be a low-scoring affair with the second-lowest total on the board at 43 o/u. The first Sunday Night Football for Week 1 features the Chicago Bears visiting Hollywood to take on the LA Rams. This marks the first game with Matthew Stafford as the new quarterback for the Rams, but he’s had plenty of experience battling the Bears as a divisional rival with the Detroit Lions. Da Bears come into this one as the biggest underdog on the board at +7.
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Stafford has been excellent through two see games in a Rams jersey as he’s completed 69.6% of his passes for 599 yards and five touchdowns with just one interception. It’s not a hot take to say he’s not going to hit those numbers, but he’s been excellent so far this season. Robert Woods has trailed behind in receiving numbers, but he’s still a very good pass-catcher as well. Those two should be able to succeed against what has been an underwhelming Tampa secondary so far. The real test will be whether or not the Rams’ offensive line can hold up against the fierce Bucs pass rush featuring Shaquill Barrett, Jason Pierre-Paul, Ndamukong Suh, Vita Vea, and Devin White. So far, the offensive line has played admirably, and Stafford has only been sacked twice through two games.
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Still, the 49ers (+11.0) were 14.2 points better than the Cards (-3.2) in terms of SRS, and I was hoping some Super Bowl inflation would induce a double-digit spread. The Packers went 13-3 last season, which was a major overachievement considering their point differential of +63 implied just 9.7 wins. Despite the inferior record, the Vikings (+5.4) were 2.2 points better than the Packers by SRS. The Vikings lost some key players this offseason — namely Diggs — but it’s not like the Packers did much to get better, either.
With BetQL, there is no more worrying about which games to bet on during the NFL season. We even adapt in-game, so you can find the best value on the point spread while the ball is in the air. Spread betting or the ‘points spread’ is the most popular wager in NFL betting. It’s also known as lines, spreads and sides, so these are terms that you may see mentioned on the betting sites. In each NFL game, one of the teams is assigned the label of favorite and the other is known as the underdog.
This season, the Chiefs have an ATS record of 3-7 in their 10 games as a favorite of 2.5 points or more. The average total in Chiefs games this season is 53.8, 2.7 points fewer than Sunday’s over/under of 56.5. The 45.8 combined points per game that these two squads have allowed this season are 10.7 fewer than the 56.5 total in this contest. Kansas City and its opponents have gone over the current 56.5-point total in four of 10 games this season.
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Every year before the season starts, I go through the entire NFL schedule and write down potential survivor picks for each week. I’m not married to those picks, it just helps to have a general idea of which weeks might be the toughest and which teams I may want to save. Some survivor pools are one-and-done, some are double elimination, some make you pick two games per week after a certain point in the season. You need different strategies for each of these types of pools, so familiarize yourself with the rules before the season starts. The Rams were one of the best teams in the NFL last year, and in any other division, would probably have been better.